Stat 110 - Non-Bayesian Probability
Course Description
Course Learning Outcomes
After completion of the course, the student should be able to:
- Explain the notion of probability and its importance to statistics
- Calculate probabilities by applying probability laws, definitions, and theoretical results
- Analyze random variables and their distribution functions
- Evaluate expectations and moments of random variables
- Identify an appropriate probability distribution for a given random variable to compute
probabilities
- Calculate probabilities for joint distributions including marginal and conditional probabilities
- Explain the independence of random variables
- Compute mathematical expectations of random vectors
Course Outline
UNIT 0. Preliminary
- Introduction to the Course
- The Basic Concept of Probability and its History
- Review of Set Theory
UNIT 1. Probability
- Building Blocks of the Probability Structure
- Approaches of Assigning Probabilities
- Probability Function (Axiomatic Definition of Probability)
- Properties of a Probability Function and the Probability Space
- The Event Composition Method
- Finite Sample Spaces
- Conditional Probability
- Theorem of Total Probability
- The Bayes’ Theorem/Bayes’ Rule
- Multiplication Rule
- Independence of Events
UNIT 2. Random Variables, Distribution Functions and Expectations
- Random Variables
- Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)
- Characteristics of Random Variables according to their Type
- Expectations
- Moments
- Moment Generating Function
- Factorial Moment Generating Function
UNIT 3. Some Special Parametric Families of Univariate Distributions
- Parametric Families of Discrete Distributions
- Parametric Families of Continuous Densities
UNIT 4. Joint and Conditional Distributions, Stochastic Independence, More Expectation
- Joint Distribution Functions
- Conditional Distributions and Stochastic Independence
- Expectation
UNIT 5. Functions of Random Variables
- Distribution of a Function of a Random Variable
- Expectations of a Function of a Random Variable